Other points here -
1. Just right now Egypt (especially) and Turkey could be a big "don't go there" for Brits.
2. I agree that the family holiday will be the last thing to go but most will be looking to do it on the cheap. Perhaps they will stay in UK - and risk the weather?
Where is the cheapest place that is stable, friendly, cheap and offers guaranteed sunshine from May to October - apart from France?
3. I live in Moraira and talk to people. I can say for sure that restaurants, bars, supermarkets etc. are seriously "tightening their belts".
Spanish people don't moan and groan about the recession but they are cutting back on spending in a big, big way and the restaurants in particular are really feeling it.
For the first time in several years prices are going DOWN and thay know that the only thing that will save them is tourism.
4. If you really think about it a villa holiday is the only sensible option. If the holiday budget gets depleted half way through they can still shop at a supermarket and enjoy an evening barbecue around the pool.
Here's a good one: Toppers Chippy and Takaway in Moraira are planning part cooked BBQ packs - just take them away and finish them off on the barbecue. Ribs, chicken pieces, susages, potatoes etc. and a bowl of salad - around 4 Euros per person.
I really think it could be "business as usual" but lots will miss the early bargains by booking late.
Cheap flights are cheap, cheap, cheap right now even for August. Cheap flight only go one way and that's up - apart from tearing down the runway a bit first!

Hold your breath and watch this space!
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